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Middle East & North Africa

A New Dawn in the Levant: How Growing Daylight Between the Israeli Government and the American People Could Change U.S. Middle East Policy

Popular American discontent with Israel—and the subsequent weakening of the Israel Lobby— presents an opportunity to reorient U.S. policy in the Middle East and North Africa …

January 20, 2026

Environment and Biosecurity

How Would an AI Verification System Work in the Biological Weapons Convention?

The U.S. proposal to introduce an AI verification system for the Biological Weapons Convention (BWC) cannot create a verification regime that the convention has not yet agreed, …

January 19, 2026

Environment and Biosecurity

The Climate Cost of the Russo-Ukraine War and the Case for Russian Reparations

Armed conflict, and military activity generally, is one of the largest institutional contributors to global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Russia’s war in Ukraine is no…

January 13, 2026

Europe & Central Asia

From Russia, With Tokens: AI, Labor Shortages, and the Uncertain Prospect of Russia-PRC Cooperation

Despite Russia’s history of leveraging its large population for military advantage, a serious demographic crunch threatens Moscow’s ability to sustain a strong economy and…

January 12, 2026

Defense

The Shifting Role of Human Pilots in the Future of Air Warfare

Drones and unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) have transformed modern warfare and transcended the long-range capabilities of militaries across the globe. They possess the ability to…

January 12, 2026

Europe & Central Asia

What the Dutch Government’s Seizure of Nexperia Teaches Us About Political Risk Management

On September 30, the Dutch government became the first in Europe to effectively seize control of a company on national security grounds, invoking an obscure Cold War-era law to…

January 11, 2026

Middle East & North Africa

The 2025 Elections in the Kurdistan Region: Eroding Legitimacy, Strategic Fragmentation, and the Salafi Shift

On November 11, 2025, Iraq concluded its sixth parliamentary elections. In the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI), the ruling parties, the Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP) and the…

January 4, 2026

Technology

How the U.S., Russia, and PRC Aim to Fight the First Space War: Analyzing Kinetic Counterspace Systems

Today, three nations dominate the counterspace environment: the United States, Russia, and the People’s Republic of China (PRC), all in a prolonged great power conflict that…

December 29, 2025

Geoeconomics & Resource Competition

No One Waits for Washington: Huawei, Development Timelines, and State Priorities in Kenya and Ethiopia

Kenya and Ethiopia’s continued contracting with Huawei leaves little ambiguity: development pressures, not great-power rivalry, drive African telecommunications procurement.…

December 24, 2025

Europe & Central Asia

A Matter of When, Not If: Potential Flash Points for Russia’s Next Invasion of Eastern Europe

The inevitability of Russia’s aggression in Eastern Europe in destabilizing the regional security architecture comes after decades of revisionist ambitions. President Vladimir…

December 18, 2025